← THE DOCKETTRADE BREAKDOWN · COMPLETED 2026-06-27
LAK / MTL
EVEN +0.0 AS SAVED (the model's value read, after package counting). The model's feasibility audit disagreed with the trade: Partner Cap Breach.
B
LAK model grade B
Value net 0.0 NAV, inside the fair band (within 10% or 10 NAV).
B
MTL model grade B
Value net 0.0 NAV, inside the fair band (within 10% or 10 NAV).
A grade is the model's value read at the time, as a letter: how far apart the two packages were after package counting, as a share of the larger one. Trades the headline calls fair are a B for both clubs. It leaves out cap, lineup holes, fit, the contention window and injuries, which are listed separately below, and a club can take a lower grade for need. It's not a prediction of who wins the trade; the value model ordered real trades only modestly better than chance.
THE SCALE · v1
- A+: ahead by 28% or more
- A: ahead by 20% or more
- A-: ahead by 15% or more
- B+: ahead by 10% or more
- B: inside the fair band (within 10% or 10 NAV)
- B-: behind by 10% or more
- C+: behind by 15% or more
- C: behind by 20% or more
- C-: behind by 28% or more
- D+: behind by 36% or more
- D: behind by 44% or more
- D-: behind by 52% or more
- F: behind by 60% or more
The before-and-after snapshot was not recorded for this trade: it was saved before that existed. The package, margin and grading details below are as saved.
HOW THE MARGIN IS BUILT · LAK gets 1 raw from MTL and sends 1 raw: +0.0. Package counting +0.0 (best player in full, each further player counts for less, negative players count as zero). Margin +0.0.
PER-ASSET COUNTING
LAK sends: 1 raw, 1 counted
2027 7th Round Pick (LAK): raw 1 counted in full
MTL sends: 1 raw, 1 counted
2026 7th Round Pick via VGK: raw 1 counted in full
HOW IT WAS GRADED · AS SAVED · Saved before grading dates were recorded, so the day it was graded, the model version and the data dates are not known. This cannot be called a grade struck at the time of the trade.
WHAT THE MODEL FLAGGED
- Partner Cap Breach. Montréal Canadiens is already over the ceiling and this trade adds $0.50M more.
- Montréal Canadiens needs players, not picks. Montréal Canadiens is in win-now mode. Contending teams don't trade their assets for draft picks that won't produce NHL players for 3–5 years.
FULL RULING AND PLAYER DETAIL ON THE DOCKET →