← THE DOCKETTRADE BREAKDOWN · COMPLETED 2026-07-01
NYR / VAN
VAN +183.0 AS SAVED (the model's value read, after package counting). The model's feasibility audit disagreed with the trade: New York Rangers rejects massive underpayment.
CONDITIONS · marked * on Sportsnet; terms not given
F
NYR model grade F
Value net -183.0 NAV, 90% of the larger package, behind.
A+
VAN model grade A+
Value net +183.0 NAV, 90% of the larger package, ahead.
A grade is the model's value read at the time, as a letter: how far apart the two packages were after package counting, as a share of the larger one. Trades the headline calls fair are a B for both clubs. It leaves out cap, lineup holes, fit, the contention window and injuries, which are listed separately below, and a club can take a lower grade for need. It's not a prediction of who wins the trade; the value model ordered real trades only modestly better than chance.
THE SCALE · v1
- A+: ahead by 28% or more
- A: ahead by 20% or more
- A-: ahead by 15% or more
- B+: ahead by 10% or more
- B: inside the fair band (within 10% or 10 NAV)
- B-: behind by 10% or more
- C+: behind by 15% or more
- C: behind by 20% or more
- C-: behind by 28% or more
- D+: behind by 36% or more
- D: behind by 44% or more
- D-: behind by 52% or more
- F: behind by 60% or more
The before-and-after snapshot was not recorded for this trade: it was saved before that existed. The package, margin and grading details below are as saved.
HOW THE MARGIN IS BUILT · VAN gets 204 raw from NYR and sends 21 raw: +183.0. Package counting +0.0 (best player in full, each further player counts for less, negative players count as zero). Margin +183.0.
PER-ASSET COUNTING
VAN sends: 21 raw, 21 counted
Marcus Pettersson: raw 21 counted in full
NYR sends: 204 raw, 204 counted
2030 1st Round Pick (NYR): raw 204 counted in full
HOW IT WAS GRADED · AS SAVED · Saved before grading dates were recorded, so the day it was graded, the model version and the data dates are not known. This cannot be called a grade struck at the time of the trade.
WHAT THE MODEL FLAGGED
- New York Rangers rejects massive underpayment. New York Rangers is being asked to give up 204 NAV while only receiving 21 NAV. This is a gross underpayment and gets rejected.
- New York Rangers is significantly overpaying. The NAV analysis shows New York Rangers giving up 204 NAV points worth of assets and receiving only 21 — a 90% gap.
FULL RULING AND PLAYER DETAIL ON THE DOCKET →