Cap & Crease
Est. 2026 — Vol. I — Data Feed Active
PUBLIC RECORD · THE DOCKET
TRADE RULINGS
Loading published trade rulings and current grades
Cap & Crease
Est. 2026 — Vol. I — Data Feed Active
← THE DOCKET
TRADE BREAKDOWN · COMPLETED 2026-10-09
MTL / NSH
NSH +58.0 AS SAVED (the model's value read, after package counting). The model's feasibility audit disagreed with the trade: Cap Ceiling Breach.
MTL model grade F
Value net -58.0 NAV, 87% of the larger package, behind.
NSH model grade A+
Value net +58.0 NAV, 87% of the larger package, ahead.
A grade is the model's value read at the time, as a letter: how far apart the two packages were after package counting, as a share of the larger one. Trades the headline calls fair are a B for both clubs. It leaves out cap, lineup holes, fit, the contention window and injuries, which are listed separately below, and a club can take a lower grade for need. It's not a prediction of who wins the trade; the value model ordered real trades only modestly better than chance.
THE SCALE · v1
- A+: ahead by 28% or more
- A: ahead by 20% or more
- A-: ahead by 15% or more
- B+: ahead by 10% or more
- B: inside the fair band (within 10% or 10 NAV)
- B-: behind by 10% or more
- C+: behind by 15% or more
- C: behind by 20% or more
- C-: behind by 28% or more
- D+: behind by 36% or more
- D: behind by 44% or more
- D-: behind by 52% or more
- F: behind by 60% or more
The before-and-after snapshot was not recorded for this trade: it was saved before that existed. The package, margin and grading details below are as saved.
HOW THE MARGIN IS BUILT · NSH gets 67 raw from MTL and sends 9 raw: +58.0. Package counting +0.0 (best player in full, each further player counts for less, negative players count as zero). Margin +58.0.
PER-ASSET COUNTING
NSH sends: 9 raw, 9 counted
2027 2nd Round Pick via VGK: raw 9 counted in full
MTL sends: 67 raw, 67 counted
Jayden Struble: raw 67 counted in full
HOW IT WAS GRADED · AS SAVED · Saved before grading dates were recorded, so the day it was graded, the model version and the data dates are not known. This cannot be called a grade struck at the time of the trade.
WHAT THE MODEL FLAGGED
- Montréal Canadiens rejects massive underpayment. Montréal Canadiens is being asked to give up 67 NAV while only receiving 9 NAV. This is a gross underpayment and gets rejected.
- Cap Ceiling Breach. Montréal Canadiens is already over the ceiling and this trade adds $0.49M more.
- Montréal Canadiens is significantly overpaying. The NAV analysis shows Montréal Canadiens giving up 67 NAV points worth of assets and receiving only 9 — a 87% gap.